Assyriska FF vs FBK Karlstad: prediction and stats
Ettan - NorraNorra - 26Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Södertälje Fotbollsarena, Södertälje
The Footlab model makes FBK Karlstad the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Assyriska FF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Assyriska FF vs FBK Karlstad?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Assyriska FF (1,602) and FBK Karlstad (1,627).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Assyriska FF have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; FBK Karlstad have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gefle IF(home) | 1-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | IF Karlstad(away) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sollentuna(home) | 3-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FBK Karlstad(away) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Jul 19, 2026 | AFC Eskilstuna(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arlanda(away) | 1-5 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 19, 2026 | GIF Sundsvall(home) | 1-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Enköping(home) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hammarby Talang(away) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Assyriska FF(home) | 0-2 | Ettan - Norra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Assyriska FF win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 FBK Karlstad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | FBK Karlstad 0-2 Assyriska FF | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Assyriska FF 2-3 FBK Karlstad | Ettan - Norra |
| Jun 8, 2024 | FBK Karlstad 3-5 Assyriska FF | Ettan - Norra |
Last archived meeting: FBK Karlstad vs Assyriska FF on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Assyriska FF score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FBK Karlstad score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assyriska FF | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| FBK Karlstad | 1.5 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Assyriska FF sit 9th in Ettan - Norra (23 points from 18 matches) and FBK Karlstad sit 7th (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FBK Karlstad | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 28 | 28 |
| 9 | Assyriska FF | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 31 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Assyriska FF vs FBK Karlstad?
- The Footlab model makes FBK Karlstad the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Assyriska FF.
- Where and when is Assyriska FF vs FBK Karlstad played?
- Assyriska FF vs FBK Karlstad is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Södertälje Fotbollsarena, in the Ettan - Norra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.