Assyriska FF vs Stocksund: prediction and stats
Ettan - NorraNorra - 20Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Södertälje Fotbollsarena, Södertälje
The Footlab model makes Assyriska FF the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 24% for Stocksund. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Assyriska FF vs Stocksund?
Assyriska FF starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,602 vs 1,493).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Assyriska FF have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Stocksund have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gefle IF(home) | 1-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | IF Karlstad(away) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sollentuna(home) | 3-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FBK Karlstad(away) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Jul 19, 2026 | AFC Eskilstuna(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vasalund(away) | 3-4 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Karlberg(away) | 0-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gefle IF(home) | 5-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Karlberg(home) | 0-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sollentuna(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Assyriska FF win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Stocksund win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Stocksund 3-3 Assyriska FF | Ettan - Norra |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Assyriska FF 2-1 Stocksund | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Assyriska FF 3-3 Stocksund | Ettan - Norra |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Stocksund 3-2 Assyriska FF | Ettan - Norra |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Stocksund 5-2 Assyriska FF | Ettan - Norra |
| Jun 3, 2024 | Assyriska FF 1-0 Stocksund | Ettan - Norra |
Last archived meeting: Stocksund vs Assyriska FF on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Assyriska FF score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Stocksund score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assyriska FF | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Stocksund | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Assyriska FF sit 9th in Ettan - Norra (23 points from 18 matches) and Stocksund sit 16th (11 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Assyriska FF | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 31 | 23 |
| 16 | Stocksund | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 44 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Assyriska FF vs Stocksund?
- The Footlab model makes Assyriska FF the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 24% for Stocksund.
- Where and when is Assyriska FF vs Stocksund played?
- Assyriska FF vs Stocksund is played on September 4, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Södertälje Fotbollsarena, in the Ettan - Norra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.