IF Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna: prediction and stats
Ettan - NorraNorra - 20Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tingvalla IP, Karlstad
The Footlab model makes AFC Eskilstuna the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for IF Karlstad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IF Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate IF Karlstad (1,673) and AFC Eskilstuna (1,683).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IF Karlstad have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; AFC Eskilstuna have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sollentuna(away) | 1-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sandviken(home) | 0-2 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Assyriska FF(home) | 0-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Järfälla(away) | 4-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Enköping(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Karlberg(away) | 3-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Oddevold(home) | 4-4 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hammarby Talang(home) | 1-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Umeå FC(away) | 3-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Umeå FC(home) | 1-0 | Ettan - Norra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 IF Karlstad win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 AFC Eskilstuna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | AFC Eskilstuna 0-2 IF Karlstad | Ettan - Norra |
| Mar 13, 2026 | AFC Eskilstuna 2-1 IF Karlstad | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 31, 2025 | AFC Eskilstuna 4-3 IF Karlstad | Ettan - Norra |
| Jun 22, 2025 | IF Karlstad 1-2 AFC Eskilstuna | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 1, 2024 | IF Karlstad 4-2 AFC Eskilstuna | Ettan - Norra |
| Apr 6, 2024 | AFC Eskilstuna 0-0 IF Karlstad | Ettan - Norra |
Last archived meeting: AFC Eskilstuna vs IF Karlstad on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IF Karlstad score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Eskilstuna score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IF Karlstad | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| AFC Eskilstuna | 2.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IF Karlstad sit 3rd in Ettan - Norra (36 points from 18 matches) and AFC Eskilstuna sit 5th (31 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | IF Karlstad | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 15 | 36 |
| 5 | AFC Eskilstuna | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IF Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna?
- The Footlab model makes AFC Eskilstuna the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for IF Karlstad.
- Where and when is IF Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna played?
- IF Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Tingvalla IP, in the Ettan - Norra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.