Asteras Varis vs Ilioupoli: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 9Group 9 - 13Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Athlitiko Kentro Varis, Vari
The Footlab AI model makes Asteras Varis the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Ilioupoli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Asteras Varis wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Asteras Varis vs Ilioupoli?
Asteras Varis starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,681 vs 1,556).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Asteras Varis vs Ilioupoli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Asteras Varis
Not enough data to predict the Asteras Varis lineup.
Ilioupoli
4-3-3- 21F. Miya
- 19E. Sam
- 7Georgios Lleshaj
- 28G. Neofytidis
- 30Aleksey Chayka
- 18Dimitrios Thomaidis
- 5M. Bougaidis
- 3Vangelis Keramidas
- 32G. Maidanos
- 69Sotirios Katsioulas
- 33Georgios Christodoulis
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Asteras Varis have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Ilioupoli have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Thyella Diastavroseos(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Saronikos Anavyssou(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ilioupoli(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ilisiakos(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Saronikos Anavyssou(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Acharnaikos(home) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Thyella Diastavroseos(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Asteras Varis(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Egaleo(home) | 1-3 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Kissamikos(away) | 0-1 | Super League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Asteras Varis wins, 1 draw, 0 Ilioupoli wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ilioupoli 1-1 Asteras Varis | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Ilioupoli vs Asteras Varis on Oct 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Asteras Varis score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ilioupoli score 0.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Varis | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Ilioupoli | 0.6 | 1.2 | 2 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Asteras Varis sit 9th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 (1 point from 2 matches) and Ilioupoli sit 8th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ilioupoli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Asteras Varis | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
A question about Asteras Varis vs Ilioupoli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Asteras Varis vs Ilioupoli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Asteras Varis the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Ilioupoli.
- Where and when is Asteras Varis vs Ilioupoli played?
- Asteras Varis vs Ilioupoli is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Athlitiko Kentro Varis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.