Where and when is Middlesbrough U21 vs Genk U21 played?

Middlesbrough U21 vs Genk U21 is played on September 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Heritage Park, in the Premier League International Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Middlesbrough U21 vs Genk U21: prediction and stats

Premier League International CupGroup StageKick-off on September 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Heritage Park, Bishop Auckland, County Durham

Middlesbrough U21

Genk U21

The Footlab model makes Genk U21 the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Middlesbrough U21. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Middlesbrough U21 vs Genk U21?

Genk U21 starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,996 vs 1,820).

Middlesbrough U21 win22 %

Draw21 %

Genk U21 win57 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Middlesbrough U21 have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Genk U21 have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Middlesbrough U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Norwich City U21(home)	0-1	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	Solihull Moors(away)	3-1	National League Cup
Aug 11, 2026	Hartlepool(away)	10-0	National League Cup
Apr 25, 2026	Chelsea U21(away)	0-1	Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 10, 2026	Aston Villa U21(away)	2-0	Premier League 2 Division One

Genk U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 2, 2022	Club Brugge U21(home)	0-2	Reserve Pro League
Apr 28, 2022	Standard Liège U21(away)	1-1	Reserve Pro League
Apr 20, 2022	Gent U21(home)	3-2	Reserve Pro League
Apr 15, 2022	Sporting Charleroi U21(away)	2-1	Reserve Pro League
Apr 11, 2022	Zulte-Waregem U21(away)	3-1	Reserve Pro League

How many goals should we expect?

Middlesbrough U21 score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Genk U21 score 2.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Middlesbrough U21	2.5	1.2	3	9/15	8/15
Genk U21	2.6	1.3	2	12/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Middlesbrough U21 vs Genk U21?: The Footlab model makes Genk U21 the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Middlesbrough U21.
Where and when is Middlesbrough U21 vs Genk U21 played?: Middlesbrough U21 vs Genk U21 is played on September 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Heritage Park, in the Premier League International Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.