Aston Villa vs Burnley: result 3-2 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 30, 2023 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Villa Park, Birmingham
Full time
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Burnley?
Aston Villa won 3-2 on December 30, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 28′L. BaileyAston Villa
- 31′Z. AmdouniBurnley
- 42′M. DiabyAston Villa
- 71′L. FosterBurnley
- 89′Douglas LuizAston Villa (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Burnley have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2023 | Manchester United(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 22, 2023 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Brentford(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 14, 2023 | Zrinjski(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Arsenal(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2023 | Liverpool(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Fulham(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Everton(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Brighton(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Wolves(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Aston Villa win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Burnley win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2023 | Burnley 1-3 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| May 19, 2022 | Aston Villa 1-1 Burnley | Premier League |
| May 7, 2022 | Burnley 1-3 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Jan 27, 2021 | Burnley 3-2 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Dec 17, 2020 | Aston Villa 0-0 Burnley | Premier League |
| Jan 1, 2020 | Burnley 1-2 Aston Villa | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Burnley vs Aston Villa on Aug 27, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Aston Villa score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Burnley score 0.9 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 2.0 | 1.1 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Burnley | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy