Aston Villa vs Derby: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipPromotion Play-offs - FinalKick-off on May 27, 2019 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Villa Park, Birmingham
Full time
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Derby?
Aston Villa won 2-1 on May 27, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 44′A. El GhaziAston Villa
- 59′J. McGinnAston Villa
- 81′M. WaghornDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Derby have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2019 | West Brom(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| May 11, 2019 | West Brom(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| May 5, 2019 | Norwich(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Apr 28, 2019 | Leeds(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Apr 22, 2019 | Millwall(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2019 | Leeds(away) | 4-2 | Championship |
| May 11, 2019 | Leeds(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| May 5, 2019 | West Brom(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| May 1, 2019 | Swansea(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Apr 27, 2019 | Bristol City(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Aston Villa win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2019 | Aston Villa 4-0 Derby | Championship |
| Nov 10, 2018 | Derby 0-3 Aston Villa | Championship |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Aston Villa 1-1 Derby | Championship |
| Dec 16, 2017 | Derby 2-0 Aston Villa | Championship |
| Feb 25, 2017 | Aston Villa 1-0 Derby | Championship |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Derby 0-0 Aston Villa | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Aston Villa score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 2.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 1.9 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Derby | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy