Aston Villa vs Derby: result 4-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 2, 2019 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Villa Park, Birmingham
Full time
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Derby?
Aston Villa won 4-0 on March 2, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 9′C. HourihaneAston Villa
- 37′T. AbrahamAston Villa
- 44′C. HourihaneAston Villa
- 45′J. GrealishAston Villa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Derby have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2019 | Stoke City(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Feb 16, 2019 | West Brom(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Feb 13, 2019 | Brentford(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Feb 8, 2019 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 3-3 | Championship |
| Feb 2, 2019 | Reading(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2019 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Feb 20, 2019 | Millwall(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Feb 16, 2019 | Brighton(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Feb 13, 2019 | Ipswich(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Feb 9, 2019 | Hull City(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Aston Villa win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2018 | Derby 0-3 Aston Villa | Championship |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Aston Villa 1-1 Derby | Championship |
| Dec 16, 2017 | Derby 2-0 Aston Villa | Championship |
| Feb 25, 2017 | Aston Villa 1-0 Derby | Championship |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Derby 0-0 Aston Villa | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Aston Villa score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Derby | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy