Derby vs Aston Villa: result 0-3 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 10, 2018 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Aston Villa?
Aston Villa won 0-3 on November 10, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 74′J. McGinnAston Villa
- 78′T. AbrahamAston Villa
- 84′C. HourihaneAston Villa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Aston Villa have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2018 | Birmingham(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2018 | Chelsea(away) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Middlesbrough(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2018 | West Brom(away) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2018 | Bolton(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 26, 2018 | QPR(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 23, 2018 | Norwich(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Swansea(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 6, 2018 | Millwall(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Derby win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Aston Villa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2018 | Aston Villa 1-1 Derby | Championship |
| Dec 16, 2017 | Derby 2-0 Aston Villa | Championship |
| Feb 25, 2017 | Aston Villa 1-0 Derby | Championship |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Derby 0-0 Aston Villa | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa score 1.2 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.8 | 1.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Aston Villa | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy