Astrakhan vs Dynamo Makhachkala II: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 22Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion imeni Kolosova, Astrakhan'
The Footlab model makes Astrakhan the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Dynamo Makhachkala II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Astrakhan vs Dynamo Makhachkala II?
Astrakhan starts as the favourite with a 284-point Elo edge (1,661 vs 1,377).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Astrakhan have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Dynamo Makhachkala II have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rostov II(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sevastopol(away) | 4-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Mashuk-KMV(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog(away) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(home) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(home) | 0-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kyzyltash(away) | 4-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lugansk(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rostov II(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Astrakhan win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Dynamo Makhachkala II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Dynamo Makhachkala II 0-2 Astrakhan | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Astrakhan 2-1 Dynamo Makhachkala II | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Astrakhan 4-1 Dynamo Makhachkala II | Second League - Group 1 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Dynamo Makhachkala II 0-7 Astrakhan | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Dynamo Makhachkala II 1-1 Astrakhan | Second League - Group 1 |
| May 19, 2024 | Astrakhan 3-0 Dynamo Makhachkala II | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Dynamo Makhachkala II vs Astrakhan on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Astrakhan score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Makhachkala II score 0.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astrakhan | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Dynamo Makhachkala II | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Astrakhan sit 10th in Second League - Group 1 (22 points from 19 matches) and Dynamo Makhachkala II sit 15th (13 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Astrakhan | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 22 |
| 15 | Dynamo Makhachkala II | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 35 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Astrakhan vs Dynamo Makhachkala II?
- The Footlab model makes Astrakhan the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Dynamo Makhachkala II.
- Where and when is Astrakhan vs Dynamo Makhachkala II played?
- Astrakhan vs Dynamo Makhachkala II is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion imeni Kolosova, in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.