FK Chayka 2 vs Rostov II: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 22Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Rostov II the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for FK Chayka 2. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Chayka 2 vs Rostov II?
Rostov II starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (1,774 vs 1,549).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Chayka 2 have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Rostov II have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dynamo Makhachkala II(away) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Druzhba(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk(away) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pobeda(home) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Astrakhan(away) | 0-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Astrakhan(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Angust Nazran(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spartak Nalchik(away) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Izberbash(home) | 5-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Dynamo Makhachkala II(away) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 FK Chayka 2 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Rostov II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Rostov II 5-0 FK Chayka 2 | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Rostov II vs FK Chayka 2 on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FK Chayka 2 score 0.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rostov II score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Chayka 2 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 2 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Rostov II | 2.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Chayka 2 sit 16th in Second League - Group 1 (11 points from 20 matches) and Rostov II sit 3rd (40 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rostov II | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 16 | 40 |
| 16 | FK Chayka 2 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 43 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Chayka 2 vs Rostov II?
- The Footlab model makes Rostov II the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for FK Chayka 2.
- Where and when is FK Chayka 2 vs Rostov II played?
- FK Chayka 2 vs Rostov II is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.