Spartak Nalchik vs Nart Cherkessk: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 22Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Spartak, Nal'chik
The Footlab model makes Nart Cherkessk the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Spartak Nalchik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Nalchik vs Nart Cherkessk?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Spartak Nalchik (1,629) and Nart Cherkessk (1,720).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Nalchik have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Nart Cherkessk have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lugansk(away) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz(home) | 3-3 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rostov II(home) | 0-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kyzyltash(away) | 3-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(home) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog(away) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dinamo Stavropol(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(home) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sevastopol(away) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Spartak Nalchik win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Nart Cherkessk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk 1-0 Spartak Nalchik | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Nart Cherkessk 5-0 Spartak Nalchik | Second League - Group 1 |
| Apr 9, 2025 | Spartak Nalchik 1-1 Nart Cherkessk | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Spartak Nalchik 2-5 Nart Cherkessk | Second League - Group 1 |
| May 11, 2024 | Nart Cherkessk 3-2 Spartak Nalchik | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Nart Cherkessk vs Spartak Nalchik on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Nalchik score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nart Cherkessk score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Nalchik | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Nart Cherkessk | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Nalchik sit 8th in Second League - Group 1 (28 points from 18 matches) and Nart Cherkessk sit 7th (28 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nart Cherkessk | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 16 | 28 |
| 8 | Spartak Nalchik | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Nalchik vs Nart Cherkessk?
- The Footlab model makes Nart Cherkessk the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Spartak Nalchik.
- Where and when is Spartak Nalchik vs Nart Cherkessk played?
- Spartak Nalchik vs Nart Cherkessk is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Spartak, in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.