ASV Neumarkt vs Cham: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion am Deininger Weg, Neumarkt in der Oberpfalz
The Footlab model makes Cham the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for ASV Neumarkt. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASV Neumarkt vs Cham?
Cham starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,884 vs 1,707).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASV Neumarkt have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Cham have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stadeln(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fortuna Regensburg(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Weiden(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bayern Hof(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kornburg(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Jahn Regensburg II(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gebenbach(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stadeln(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fortuna Regensburg(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 ASV Neumarkt win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Cham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Cham 2-0 ASV Neumarkt | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 3, 2025 | ASV Neumarkt 1-0 Cham | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Cham 3-1 ASV Neumarkt | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 10, 2024 | ASV Neumarkt 2-1 Cham | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Apr 27, 2024 | ASV Neumarkt 2-1 Cham | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Cham 1-1 ASV Neumarkt | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
How many goals should we expect?
ASV Neumarkt score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Cham score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASV Neumarkt | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Cham | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ASV Neumarkt sit 3rd in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (59 points from 32 matches) and Cham sit 2nd (62 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cham | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 62 |
| 3 | ASV Neumarkt | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 68 | 50 | 59 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASV Neumarkt vs Cham?
- The Footlab model makes Cham the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for ASV Neumarkt.
- Where and when is ASV Neumarkt vs Cham played?
- ASV Neumarkt vs Cham is played on May 15, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Deininger Weg, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 14, 2027Fortuna RegensburgvsNordlingen
- May 14, 2027AmmerthalvsDJK Bamberg
- May 14, 2027KornburgvsEintracht Bamberg
- May 15, 2027WeidenvsIngolstadt II
- May 15, 2027StadelnvsWürzburger FV
- May 15, 2027Bayern HofvsNeudrossenfeld
- May 15, 2027GebenbachvsViktoria Aschaffenburg
- May 15, 2027Jahn Regensburg IIvsGroßbardorf