Weiden vs Ingolstadt II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sparda-Bank-Stadion, Weiden/Oberpfalz
The Footlab model makes Weiden the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Ingolstadt II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Weiden vs Ingolstadt II?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Weiden (1,748) and Ingolstadt II (1,780).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Weiden have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ingolstadt II have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bayern Hof(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kornburg(home) | 2-7 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ammerthal(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Großbardorf(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nordlingen(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Würzburger FV(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jahn Regensburg II(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Weiden win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Ingolstadt II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Weiden 0-3 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Ingolstadt II 0-3 Weiden | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Weiden 0-2 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Ingolstadt II 1-0 Weiden | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
Last archived meeting: Weiden vs Ingolstadt II on Nov 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Weiden score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ingolstadt II score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weiden | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Ingolstadt II | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Weiden sit 6th in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (50 points from 32 matches) and Ingolstadt II sit 7th (48 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Weiden | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 50 |
| 7 | Ingolstadt II | 32 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 64 | 54 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Weiden vs Ingolstadt II?
- The Footlab model makes Weiden the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Ingolstadt II.
- Where and when is Weiden vs Ingolstadt II played?
- Weiden vs Ingolstadt II is played on May 15, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sparda-Bank-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 14, 2027Fortuna RegensburgvsNordlingen
- May 14, 2027AmmerthalvsDJK Bamberg
- May 14, 2027KornburgvsEintracht Bamberg
- May 15, 2027ASV NeumarktvsCham
- May 15, 2027StadelnvsWürzburger FV
- May 15, 2027Bayern HofvsNeudrossenfeld
- May 15, 2027GebenbachvsViktoria Aschaffenburg
- May 15, 2027Jahn Regensburg IIvsGroßbardorf