Atenas vs Oriental: prediction and stats
Segunda División2nd Phase - 26Kick-off on November 12, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Atenas, San Carlos
The Footlab AI model makes Atenas the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Oriental. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atenas wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,647 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atenas vs Oriental?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Atenas (1,713) and Oriental (1,698).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atenas vs Oriental
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atenas
Not enough data to predict the Atenas lineup.
Oriental
Not enough data to predict the Oriental lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atenas have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Oriental have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Colón(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Fenix(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rentistas(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Miramar(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tacuarembo(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Paysandu(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sportivo Huracan(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Uruguay Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | CA River Plate(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Colón(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atenas wins, 1 draw, 3 Oriental wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Oriental 0-1 Atenas | Segunda División |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Atenas 1-2 Oriental | Segunda División |
| May 30, 2025 | Oriental 1-1 Atenas | Segunda División |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Atenas 3-1 Oriental | Segunda División |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Oriental 5-0 Atenas | Segunda División |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Atenas 0-1 Oriental | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Atenas score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Oriental score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atenas | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Oriental | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atenas sit 1st in Segunda División (44 points from 25 matches) and Oriental sit 7th (34 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atenas | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 23 | 44 |
| 7 | Oriental | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34 | 30 | 34 |
A question about Atenas vs Oriental?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atenas vs Oriental?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atenas the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Oriental.
- Where and when is Atenas vs Oriental played?
- Atenas vs Oriental is played on November 12, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Atenas, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.