La Luz vs Fenix: prediction and stats
Segunda División2nd Phase - 26Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Parque Luis Rivero, Montevideo
The Footlab AI model makes La Luz the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Fenix. The most likely score is 1-1. If La Luz wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,621 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win La Luz vs Fenix?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate La Luz (1,639) and Fenix (1,662).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for La Luz vs Fenix
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
La Luz
Not enough data to predict the La Luz lineup.
Fenix
Not enough data to predict the Fenix lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 04:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Luz have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Fenix have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rentistas(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Miramar(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tacuarembo(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CA River Plate(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cerrito(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atenas(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Paysandu(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sportivo Huracan(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Uruguay Montevideo(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 La Luz win, 3 draws, 2 Fenix wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fenix 0-0 La Luz | Segunda División |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Fenix 0-0 La Luz | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Fenix 0-2 La Luz | Segunda División |
| Jul 6, 2025 | La Luz 2-2 Fenix | Segunda División |
| Apr 20, 2025 | La Luz 0-2 Fenix | Segunda División |
| Dec 7, 2023 | La Luz 0-2 Fenix | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
La Luz score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fenix score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Luz | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Fenix | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
La Luz sit 9th in Segunda División (34 points from 25 matches) and Fenix sit 10th (31 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | La Luz | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 34 |
| 10 | Fenix | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 30 | 31 |
A question about La Luz vs Fenix?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for La Luz vs Fenix?
- The Footlab AI model makes La Luz the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Fenix.
- Where and when is La Luz vs Fenix played?
- La Luz vs Fenix is played on November 11, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Parque Luis Rivero, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.