Cerrito vs Colón: prediction and stats
Segunda División2nd Phase - 26Kick-off on November 12, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Parque Maracaná, Montevideo
The Footlab AI model makes Cerrito the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Colón. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cerrito wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,718 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cerrito vs Colón?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Cerrito (1,661) and Colón (1,705).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cerrito vs Colón
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cerrito
Not enough data to predict the Cerrito lineup.
Colón
Not enough data to predict the Colón lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerrito have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Colón have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Fenix(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Rentistas(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Miramar(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tacuarembo(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Wanderers(home) | 2-2 | Copa Uruguay |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atenas(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Paysandu(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sportivo Huracan(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Uruguay Montevideo(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Oriental(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cerrito win, 1 draw, 4 Colón wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Colón 1-0 Cerrito | Segunda División |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Colón 1-0 Cerrito | Segunda División |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Cerrito 1-2 Colón | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Cerrito 0-2 Colón | Segunda División |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Colón 0-2 Cerrito | Segunda División |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Cerrito 1-1 Colón | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Cerrito score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Colón score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerrito | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Colón | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerrito sit 8th in Segunda División (34 points from 25 matches) and Colón sit 3rd (39 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Colón | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 39 |
| 8 | Cerrito | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 34 |
A question about Cerrito vs Colón?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cerrito vs Colón?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cerrito the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Colón.
- Where and when is Cerrito vs Colón played?
- Cerrito vs Colón is played on November 12, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Parque Maracaná, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.