Tacuarembo vs Miramar: prediction and stats
Segunda División2nd Phase - 26Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Raúl Saturnino Goyenola, Tacuarembó
The Footlab AI model makes Miramar the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Tacuarembo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Miramar wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tacuarembo vs Miramar?
Miramar starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,754 vs 1,603).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tacuarembo vs Miramar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tacuarembo
4-3-3- 27L. Machado
- 30Douglas Jardel
- DD. Vargas
- 7P. Furtado
- 10F. Mederos
- 17S. Scotto
- 28P. Fagúndez
- 24J. Baeza
- 2A. Piegas
- 29R. Hernández
- 12A. Marsegno
Miramar
Not enough data to predict the Miramar lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 04:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tacuarembo have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Miramar have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | CA River Plate(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | La Luz(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cerrito(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Atenas(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | La Luz(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Eastern Suburbs(away) | 4-1 | National League - National |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cerrito(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Auckland City(home) | 0-2 | National League - National |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tacuarembo win, 2 draws, 3 Miramar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Miramar 1-1 Tacuarembo | Segunda División |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Tacuarembo 1-3 Miramar | Segunda División |
| May 20, 2023 | Miramar 3-2 Tacuarembo | Segunda División |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Miramar 4-2 Tacuarembo | Segunda División |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Tacuarembo 2-0 Miramar | Segunda División |
| Jun 2, 2018 | Miramar 1-1 Tacuarembo | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Tacuarembo score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Miramar score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tacuarembo | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| Miramar | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tacuarembo sit 13th in Segunda División (26 points from 25 matches) and Miramar sit 12th (30 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Miramar | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 31 | 30 |
| 13 | Tacuarembo | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 28 | 26 |
A question about Tacuarembo vs Miramar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tacuarembo vs Miramar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Miramar the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Tacuarembo.
- Where and when is Tacuarembo vs Miramar played?
- Tacuarembo vs Miramar is played on November 11, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Raúl Saturnino Goyenola, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.