Athletic Carpi vs Giana Erminio: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 14Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi
The Footlab AI model makes Athletic Carpi the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Giana Erminio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Athletic Carpi wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,775 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Athletic Carpi vs Giana Erminio?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Athletic Carpi (1,723) and Giana Erminio (1,750).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Athletic Carpi vs Giana Erminio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Athletic Carpi
4-3-3- 90V. Vitale
- 18T. Carcani
- 83A. Sall
- 10F. Casarini
- 11F. Puletto
- 5M. Figoli
- 4D. Zagnoni
- 7T. Cecotti
- 17L. Lombardi
- 24Fabio Desole
- 1Alessandro Scacchetti
Giana Erminio
4-3-3- 8L. Magazzu
- 29L. Samele
- 9A. Quaggio
- 25M. Zanchetta
- 11S. Comelli
- 10F. Renda
- 60E. Rovinelli
- 24L. Ruffini
- 23P. Tornaghi
- 19C. Mora
- 22Andrea Sergio Mazza
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 10:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Athletic Carpi have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Giana Erminio have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Folgore Caratese(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Renate(home) | 0-5 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Ravenna(home) | 3-3 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Alcione(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lumezzane(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Cittadella(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Renate(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Athletic Carpi win, 0 draws, 1 Giana Erminio win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | Giana Erminio 2-0 Athletic Carpi | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Athletic Carpi 2-0 Giana Erminio | Serie D - Girone D |
Last archived meeting: Giana Erminio vs Athletic Carpi on Mar 5, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Athletic Carpi score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Giana Erminio score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Carpi | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Giana Erminio | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Athletic Carpi sit 15th in Serie C - Girone A (13 points from 13 matches) and Giana Erminio sit 16th (12 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Athletic Carpi | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 13 |
| 16 | Giana Erminio | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 12 |
A question about Athletic Carpi vs Giana Erminio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Athletic Carpi vs Giana Erminio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Athletic Carpi the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Giana Erminio.
- Where and when is Athletic Carpi vs Giana Erminio played?
- Athletic Carpi vs Giana Erminio is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Sandro Cabassi, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.