Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Athletic Carpi: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 15Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Polisportivo, Belluno
The Footlab model makes Dolomiti Bellunesi the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Athletic Carpi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Athletic Carpi?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Dolomiti Bellunesi (1,694) and Athletic Carpi (1,739).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dolomiti Bellunesi have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Athletic Carpi have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Folgore Caratese(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Virtus Verona(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Venezia(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Union Brescia(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pianese(home) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mantova(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937(away) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Forli(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Dolomiti Bellunesi score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Carpi score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolomiti Bellunesi | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Athletic Carpi | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dolomiti Bellunesi sit 7th in Serie C - Girone A (3 points from 1 matches) and Athletic Carpi sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Athletic Carpi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Athletic Carpi?
- The Footlab model makes Dolomiti Bellunesi the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Athletic Carpi.
- Where and when is Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Athletic Carpi played?
- Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Athletic Carpi is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Polisportivo, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.