Cittadella vs Folgore Caratese: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 14Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, Cittadella
The Footlab AI model makes Cittadella the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Folgore Caratese. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,541 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cittadella vs Folgore Caratese?
On Elo ratings, Cittadella has 1,842 points and Folgore Caratese 1,769.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cittadella vs Folgore Caratese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cittadella
4-3-3- 10M. Antonucci
- 16J. Ekuban
- 7E. Anastasia
- 4F. Toffanin
- 23L. Paolucci
- 19F. D'Alessio
- 43A. Ndrecka
- 87B. Martella
- 24M. Gobbato
- 14C. Crialese
- 69A. Zanellati
Folgore Caratese
4-3-3- 9S. Spalluto
- 61A. Santarcangelo
- 10A. Vacca
- 8F. Castellano
- 99F. D'Amico
- 92A. Tessiore
- 21E. Gega
- 11M. Balzano
- 43Alessandro Bassino
- 24E. Bellia
- 1D. Salvalaggio
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cittadella have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Folgore Caratese have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Novara(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Albinoleffe(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lecco(home) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ospitaletto(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Juventus U23(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Trento(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lumezzane(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Giana Erminio(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Pergolettese(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Cittadella score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Folgore Caratese score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cittadella | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Folgore Caratese | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cittadella sit 1st in Serie C - Girone A (24 points from 9 matches) and Folgore Caratese sit 18th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
| 18 | Folgore Caratese | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
A question about Cittadella vs Folgore Caratese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cittadella vs Folgore Caratese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cittadella the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Folgore Caratese.
- Where and when is Cittadella vs Folgore Caratese played?
- Cittadella vs Folgore Caratese is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.