Lumezzane vs Trento: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 14Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Nuovo Stadio Comunale, Lumezzane
The Footlab model makes Lumezzane the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Trento. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lumezzane vs Trento?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Lumezzane (1,752) and Trento (1,822).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lumezzane have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Trento have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ospitaletto(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Renate(home) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ospitaletto(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Modena(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Giana Erminio(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Lumezzane win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Trento win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Trento 1-1 Lumezzane | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Lumezzane 1-1 Trento | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Trento 2-2 Lumezzane | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Lumezzane 0-2 Trento | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Lumezzane 0-2 Trento | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Trento 0-0 Lumezzane | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Lumezzane score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Trento score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lumezzane | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Trento | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lumezzane sit 19th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Trento sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Trento | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 19 | Lumezzane | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lumezzane vs Trento?
- The Footlab model makes Lumezzane the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Trento.
- Where and when is Lumezzane vs Trento played?
- Lumezzane vs Trento is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Nuovo Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.