Athletic Carpi vs Novara: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 25Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi
The Footlab AI model makes Novara the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Athletic Carpi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Novara wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,395 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Athletic Carpi vs Novara?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Athletic Carpi (1,642) and Novara (1,677).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Athletic Carpi vs Novara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Athletic Carpi
4-3-3- 90V. Vitale
- 18T. Carcani
- 83A. Sall
- 11F. Puletto
- 10F. Casarini
- 6A. Astrologo
- 19M. Rossini
- 24Fabio Desole
- 4D. Zagnoni
- 25G. Vaglica
- 1Alessandro Scacchetti
Novara
4-3-3- 7E. Lanini
- 14M. Romano
- 9D. Zuppel
- 99G. Basso
- 19R. Collodel
- 11N. Ledonne
- 58M. Miceli
- 3S. Lartey
- 5F. Lorenzini
- 28A. Cannavaro
- 33F. Brancolini
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Athletic Carpi have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Novara have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pergolettese(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(home) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Novara(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Ospitaletto(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cittadella(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ospitaletto(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Lumezzane(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Athletic Carpi wins, 1 draw, 0 Novara wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Novara 2-2 Athletic Carpi | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Novara vs Athletic Carpi on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Athletic Carpi score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Carpi | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Novara | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Athletic Carpi sit 17th in Serie C - Girone A (6 points from 9 matches) and Novara sit 14th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Novara | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 9 |
| 17 | Athletic Carpi | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 6 |
A question about Athletic Carpi vs Novara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Athletic Carpi vs Novara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Novara the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Athletic Carpi.
- Where and when is Athletic Carpi vs Novara played?
- Athletic Carpi vs Novara is played on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Sandro Cabassi, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.