Athletic Club vs Atletico-MG: result 1-0 and analysis
Mineiro - 1Championship - Semi-finalsKick-off on March 12, 2023 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Joaquim Portugal, São João Del Rei, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Athletic Club vs Atletico-MG?
Athletic Club won 1-0 on March 12, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 45′JonathanAthletic Club (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Athletic Club have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Atletico-MG have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | Ipatinga(home) | 2-0 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Mar 1, 2023 | Brasiliense(home) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Democrata SL(away) | 2-1 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Feb 16, 2023 | Caldense(home) | 3-2 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Feb 12, 2023 | CAP(away) | 0-1 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | Millonarios(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Democrata GV(away) | 3-0 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Mar 2, 2023 | Carabobo FC(home) | 3-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Feb 25, 2023 | America Mineiro(home) | 1-1 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Feb 23, 2023 | Carabobo FC(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Athletic Club win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Atletico-MG win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2022 | Atletico-MG 1-0 Athletic Club | Mineiro - 1 |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Athletic Club 0-1 Atletico-MG | Mineiro - 1 |
Last archived meeting: Atletico-MG vs Athletic Club on Feb 16, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Athletic Club score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico-MG score 1.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 1.2 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
| Atletico-MG | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Athletic Club sit 3rd in Mineiro - 1 (7 points from 8 matches) and Atletico-MG sit 1st (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico-MG | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | Athletic Club | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy