Operario-PR vs Athletic Club: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Germano Krüger, Ponta Grossa, Paraná
The Footlab model makes Operario-PR the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Athletic Club. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Operario-PR vs Athletic Club?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Operario-PR (1,835) and Athletic Club (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Operario-PR have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Athletic Club have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vila Nova(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Cuiaba(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Avai(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 7, 2026 | São Bernardo(home) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Novorizontino(home) | 1-4 | Serie B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | CRB(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | America Mineiro(away) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Criciuma(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ponte Preta(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Operario-PR win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Athletic Club win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2026 | Athletic Club 0-1 Operario-PR | Serie B |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Operario-PR 1-4 Athletic Club | Serie B |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Athletic Club 2-1 Operario-PR | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Athletic Club vs Operario-PR on Jul 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Operario-PR score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Club score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operario-PR | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Athletic Club | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Operario-PR sit 8th in Serie B (36 points from 24 matches) and Athletic Club sit 9th (34 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Operario-PR | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 31 | 36 |
| 9 | Athletic Club | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Operario-PR vs Athletic Club?
- The Footlab model makes Operario-PR the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Athletic Club.
- Where and when is Operario-PR vs Athletic Club played?
- Operario-PR vs Athletic Club is played on October 24, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Germano Krüger, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.