Atlètic Lleida vs Grama: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Camp de futbol Ramon Farrús, Lleida
The Footlab AI model makes Atlètic Lleida the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Grama. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlètic Lleida wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlètic Lleida vs Grama?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Atlètic Lleida (1,774) and Grama (1,796).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlètic Lleida vs Grama
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlètic Lleida
4-3-3- 9Soule
- 11M. Sidibe
- 8Samson
- 6Jordi Ortega
- 22Asier
- 14N. Sauret
- 20Joan Campins
- 24A. One
- 3D. Kone
- RRoger Alcalá
- 1P. Torres
Grama
Not enough data to predict the Grama lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlètic Lleida have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Grama have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pobla Mafumet(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Peralada(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mollerussa(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | San Cristóbal(away) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tona(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vilassar Mar(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Montañesa(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Martinenc(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Atlètic Lleida win, 1 draw, 0 Grama wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | Grama 1-1 Atlètic Lleida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Atlètic Lleida 2-1 Grama | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Grama vs Atlètic Lleida on Jan 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Atlètic Lleida score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Grama score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlètic Lleida | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Grama | 1.7 | 0.5 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlètic Lleida sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (8 points from 6 matches) and Grama sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atlètic Lleida | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 9 | Grama | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
A question about Atlètic Lleida vs Grama?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlètic Lleida vs Grama?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlètic Lleida the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Grama.
- Where and when is Atlètic Lleida vs Grama played?
- Atlètic Lleida vs Grama is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Camp de futbol Ramon Farrús, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.