Badalona vs Grama: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Badalona, Badalona
The Footlab model makes Badalona the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Grama. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Badalona vs Grama?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Badalona (1,802) and Grama (1,828).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Badalona have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Grama have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Cornellà(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 31, 2026 | Cornellà(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 24, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 17, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 10, 2026 | Vic(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Manresa(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Vilassar Mar(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mollerussa(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | San Cristóbal(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Cornellà(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Badalona win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Grama win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Grama 2-0 Badalona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Badalona 2-2 Grama | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Grama 1-1 Badalona | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Badalona score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Grama score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Badalona | 1.2 | 1.2 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Grama | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grama | 34 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 49 | 35 | 54 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Badalona vs Grama?
- The Footlab model makes Badalona the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Grama.
- Where and when is Badalona vs Grama played?
- Badalona vs Grama is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Badalona, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.