Mollerussa vs Montañesa: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Camp Municipal d'Esports, Mollerussa
The Footlab model makes Mollerussa the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Montañesa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mollerussa vs Montañesa?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Mollerussa (1,729) and Montañesa (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mollerussa have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Montañesa have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Europa II(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Grama(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tona(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lleida Esportiu(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Vilanova(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Peralada(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Vic(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Manresa(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Europa II(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mollerussa win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Montañesa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Montañesa 2-0 Mollerussa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Mollerussa 1-1 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Mollerussa 0-0 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Montañesa 1-2 Mollerussa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 5, 2024 | Montañesa 3-2 Mollerussa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Mollerussa 1-0 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Montañesa vs Mollerussa on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mollerussa score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Montañesa score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mollerussa | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Montañesa | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mollerussa sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (40 points from 34 matches) and Montañesa sit 11th (42 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Montañesa | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 39 | 42 |
| 12 | Mollerussa | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 43 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mollerussa vs Montañesa?
- The Footlab model makes Mollerussa the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Montañesa.
- Where and when is Mollerussa vs Montañesa played?
- Mollerussa vs Montañesa is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Municipal d'Esports, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.