Cerdanyola del Vallès vs Vilanova: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Les Fontetes, Cerdanyola del Vallès
The Footlab AI model makes Cerdanyola del Vallès the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Vilanova. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cerdanyola del Vallès wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,396 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cerdanyola del Vallès vs Vilanova?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Cerdanyola del Vallès (1,699) and Vilanova (1,787).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cerdanyola del Vallès vs Vilanova
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cerdanyola del Vallès
Not enough data to predict the Cerdanyola del Vallès lineup.
Vilanova
Not enough data to predict the Vilanova lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 07:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerdanyola del Vallès have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Vilanova have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Pobla Mafumet(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Vilassar Mar(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Peralada(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Montañesa(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Martinenc(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Martinenc(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | L'Escala(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Europa II(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Grama(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Cerdanyola del Vallès win, 0 draws, 1 Vilanova win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Cerdanyola del Vallès 1-0 Vilanova | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Vilanova 2-0 Cerdanyola del Vallès | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Cerdanyola del Vallès vs Vilanova on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cerdanyola del Vallès score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vilanova score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerdanyola del Vallès | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Vilanova | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerdanyola del Vallès sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (16 points from 10 matches) and Vilanova sit 1st (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vilanova | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 19 |
| 4 | Cerdanyola del Vallès | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
A question about Cerdanyola del Vallès vs Vilanova?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cerdanyola del Vallès vs Vilanova?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cerdanyola del Vallès the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Vilanova.
- Where and when is Cerdanyola del Vallès vs Vilanova played?
- Cerdanyola del Vallès vs Vilanova is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Les Fontetes, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.