Atlético Baleares vs Lorca Deportiva: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Balear, Palma de Mallorca, Illes Balears
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Baleares the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Lorca Deportiva. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,886 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Baleares vs Lorca Deportiva?
Atlético Baleares starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (2,016 vs 1,882).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético Baleares vs Lorca Deportiva
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético Baleares
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Baleares lineup.
Lorca Deportiva
4-3-3- 10Dani Albiar
- 19G. Lopez
- 17José Naranjo
- 8Á. Martinez Nicolas
- 24J. Acevedo
- 21A. Heredia
- 12Jaime Escobar
- 18Fran Tafalla
- 15Fromsa
- 5H. Galiano
- 13F. Arbol
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 06:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Baleares have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Lorca Deportiva have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 0-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mallorca II(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Poblense(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | La Nucía(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Castellonense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Atlético Baleares wins, 1 draw, 0 Lorca Deportiva wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva 2-2 Atlético Baleares | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Lorca Deportiva vs Atlético Baleares on Oct 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Baleares score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lorca Deportiva score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Baleares | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Lorca Deportiva | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Baleares sit 8th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (10 points from 8 matches) and Lorca Deportiva sit 12th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Atlético Baleares | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
| 12 | Lorca Deportiva | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
A question about Atlético Baleares vs Lorca Deportiva?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Baleares vs Lorca Deportiva?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Baleares the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Lorca Deportiva.
- Where and when is Atlético Baleares vs Lorca Deportiva played?
- Atlético Baleares vs Lorca Deportiva is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Balear, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.