Ucam Murcia vs Atlético Baleares: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 · Matchday 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio BeSoccer La Condomina, Murcia
The Footlab AI model makes Ucam Murcia the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Atlético Baleares. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ucam Murcia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,659 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ucam Murcia vs Atlético Baleares?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Ucam Murcia (1,933) and Atlético Baleares (1,954).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ucam Murcia vs Atlético Baleares
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ucam Murcia
4-3-3- 11Dani Aquino
- 7Alvarito
- 18J. Pontones
- 19Juanma Bravo
- 8U. Urzelay
- 20Alberto Soto
- 6O. Jaiteh
- 2J. Ruiz
- 4Ramirez Javi
- 23M. Sevila
- 1F. Ackermann
Atlético Baleares
5-3-2- 11Miguel Martín
- 17R. Catala
- 6Gerardo Bonet
- 22M. Femenias
- 8Fofi
- 2F. Montcheu
- 5Álvaro Martín
- 16Hugo Anglada
- 18I. Lopez
- 24I. Llinares
- 13Rivas
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 11:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ucam Murcia have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Atlético Baleares have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Orihuela(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Mallorca II(home) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 2-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | La Nucía(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 0-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Ucam Murcia win, 1 draw, 1 Atlético Baleares win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Baleares 1-4 Ucam Murcia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 15, 2022 | Ucam Murcia 1-1 Atlético Baleares | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Atlético Baleares 3-0 Ucam Murcia | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Baleares vs Ucam Murcia on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ucam Murcia score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Baleares score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ucam Murcia | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Atlético Baleares | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ucam Murcia sit 3rd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (19 points from 10 matches) and Atlético Baleares sit 10th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ucam Murcia | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 19 |
| 10 | Atlético Baleares | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 13 |
A question about Ucam Murcia vs Atlético Baleares?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ucam Murcia vs Atlético Baleares?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ucam Murcia the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Atlético Baleares.
- Where and when is Ucam Murcia vs Atlético Baleares played?
- Ucam Murcia vs Atlético Baleares is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio BeSoccer La Condomina, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.