Lorca Deportiva vs Cieza: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca
The Footlab model makes Lorca Deportiva the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Cieza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lorca Deportiva vs Cieza?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Lorca Deportiva (1,860) and Cieza (1,943).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lorca Deportiva have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Cieza have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Águilas(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Yeclano(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Águilas(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Xerez(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Santomera(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Orihuela(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Muleño(away) | 6-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Bala Azul(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Lorca Deportiva win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Cieza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | Cieza 3-0 Lorca Deportiva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Lorca Deportiva 0-0 Cieza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 5, 2024 | Cieza 2-1 Lorca Deportiva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Lorca Deportiva 1-2 Cieza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Lorca Deportiva 1-1 Cieza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Cieza 3-2 Lorca Deportiva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Cieza vs Lorca Deportiva on Jan 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Lorca Deportiva score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cieza score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorca Deportiva | 0.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Cieza | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lorca Deportiva vs Cieza?
- The Footlab model makes Lorca Deportiva the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Cieza.
- Where and when is Lorca Deportiva vs Cieza played?
- Lorca Deportiva vs Cieza is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.