Orihuela vs Castellonense: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Los Arcos, Orihuela
The Footlab AI model makes Orihuela the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Castellonense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Orihuela wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,800 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orihuela vs Castellonense?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Orihuela (1,852) and Castellonense (1,905).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Orihuela vs Castellonense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Orihuela
5-4-1- 23Javi Solsona
- 17Gonzalo Miranda
- 11Joan Monterde
- 6F. Rivera
- 8José Lara
- 20S. Marc
- 21L. Booker
- 15Carlos Sánchez
- 24R. Garcia
- 3N. Vila
- 1I. Buigues
Castellonense
Not enough data to predict the Castellonense lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 05:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orihuela have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Castellonense have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mallorca II(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Castellón II(home) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Orihuela score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Castellonense score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orihuela | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Castellonense | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orihuela sit 9th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (10 points from 7 matches) and Castellonense sit 3rd (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Castellonense | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 12 |
| 9 | Orihuela | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 10 |
A question about Orihuela vs Castellonense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orihuela vs Castellonense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Orihuela the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Castellonense.
- Where and when is Orihuela vs Castellonense played?
- Orihuela vs Castellonense is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Los Arcos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.