Atlético Central vs Ciudad de Lucena: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Centro Deportivo Vega de Triana, Sevilla
The Footlab AI model makes Ciudad de Lucena the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Atlético Central. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ciudad de Lucena wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,604 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Central vs Ciudad de Lucena?
Ciudad de Lucena starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,974 vs 1,844).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético Central vs Ciudad de Lucena
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético Central
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Central lineup.
Ciudad de Lucena
Not enough data to predict the Ciudad de Lucena lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 02:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Central have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Ciudad de Lucena have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Las Palmas II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Tamaraceite(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Don Benito(away) | 2-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Estepona(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Linares Deportivo(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Sanluqueño(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Estepona(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Don Benito(home) | 4-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Atlético Central wins, 2 draws, 1 Ciudad de Lucena win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena 2-1 Atlético Central | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Atlético Central 1-0 Ciudad de Lucena | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Ciudad de Lucena 0-0 Atlético Central | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Atlético Central 2-1 Ciudad de Lucena | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Ciudad de Lucena 0-0 Atlético Central | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Atlético Central 2-1 Ciudad de Lucena | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
Last archived meeting: Ciudad de Lucena vs Atlético Central on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Central score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ciudad de Lucena score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Central | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Ciudad de Lucena | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Central sit 12th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (12 points from 9 matches) and Ciudad de Lucena sit 2nd (18 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ciudad de Lucena | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 18 |
| 12 | Atlético Central | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 12 |
A question about Atlético Central vs Ciudad de Lucena?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Central vs Ciudad de Lucena?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ciudad de Lucena the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Atlético Central.
- Where and when is Atlético Central vs Ciudad de Lucena played?
- Atlético Central vs Ciudad de Lucena is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Deportivo Vega de Triana, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.