Atlético Central vs Ciudad de Lucena: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Centro Deportivo Vega de Triana, Sevilla
The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Lucena the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Atlético Central. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Central vs Ciudad de Lucena?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Atlético Central (1,856) and Ciudad de Lucena (1,952).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Central have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ciudad de Lucena have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Caudal(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Caudal(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 31, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 23, 2026 | Bollullos(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Cádiz II(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tomares(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bollullos(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sevilla III(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Atlético Central win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Ciudad de Lucena win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena 2-1 Atlético Central | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Atlético Central 1-0 Ciudad de Lucena | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Ciudad de Lucena 0-0 Atlético Central | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Atlético Central 2-1 Ciudad de Lucena | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Ciudad de Lucena 0-0 Atlético Central | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Atlético Central 2-1 Ciudad de Lucena | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
Last archived meeting: Ciudad de Lucena vs Atlético Central on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Central score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ciudad de Lucena score 2.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Central | 1.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Ciudad de Lucena | 2.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Central vs Ciudad de Lucena?
- The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Lucena the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Atlético Central.
- Where and when is Atlético Central vs Ciudad de Lucena played?
- Atlético Central vs Ciudad de Lucena is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Deportivo Vega de Triana, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.