Sevilla Atletico vs Mijas Las Lagunas: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jesús Navas, Sevilla
The Footlab model makes Sevilla Atletico the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 35% for Mijas Las Lagunas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sevilla Atletico vs Mijas Las Lagunas?
Mijas Las Lagunas starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sevilla Atletico have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Mijas Las Lagunas have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Alcorcon(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Villarreal II(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Gimnastic(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Algeciras(home) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Xerez Deportivo(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Granada II(away) | 4-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Huétor Vega(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Huétor Tájar(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UD Melilla II(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sevilla Atletico score 0.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mijas Las Lagunas score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla Atletico | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Mijas Las Lagunas | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sevilla Atletico vs Mijas Las Lagunas?
- The Footlab model makes Sevilla Atletico the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 35% for Mijas Las Lagunas.
- Where and when is Sevilla Atletico vs Mijas Las Lagunas played?
- Sevilla Atletico vs Mijas Las Lagunas is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Jesús Navas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.