Estepona vs Atlético Paso: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, Estepona
The Footlab AI model makes Estepona the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Atlético Paso. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estepona wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,239 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estepona vs Atlético Paso?
On Elo ratings, Estepona has 1,892 points and Atlético Paso 1,850.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estepona vs Atlético Paso
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estepona
4-3-3- 20Daniel Sancho
- 10Ale Conteras
- 16D. Ballarin
- 15Javi Duarte
- 6J. Aguilera
- 17S. Baradji
- 26A. Gonzalez
- 3A. Candelas
- 5Titi Fernández
- 22José Caro
- 1J. Ruiz
Atlético Paso
4-3-3- 10I. Villoslada
- 19A. Hernandez
- 9Aythami Perera
- 16S. Casais
- 22F. Jose Perdomo Borges
- 21G. Roque
- 2Marc Vilaplana
- 15Matías Oscar Pezzolesi
- 12I. Hernandez
- 20A. Ortola
- 13E. Loscos
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 09:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estepona have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Atlético Paso have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Tamaraceite(home) | 5-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Antoniano(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Marbella(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Central(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 3-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Real Ávila(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Conquense(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Estepona wins, 0 draws, 0 Atlético Paso wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | Atlético Paso 0-1 Estepona | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 30, 2022 | Estepona 3-1 Atlético Paso | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Paso vs Estepona on Mar 26, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Estepona score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Paso score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estepona | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Atlético Paso | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Estepona | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 15 |
A question about Estepona vs Atlético Paso?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estepona vs Atlético Paso?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estepona the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Atlético Paso.
- Where and when is Estepona vs Atlético Paso played?
- Estepona vs Atlético Paso is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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