Badajoz vs Tamaraceite: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, Badajoz
The Footlab model makes Badajoz the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Tamaraceite. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Badajoz vs Tamaraceite?
Badajoz starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,996 vs 1,866).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Badajoz have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Tamaraceite have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Cuarte(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Cuarte(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Moralo(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| May 31, 2026 | Moralo(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| May 24, 2026 | Jaraíz(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | San Fernando CD(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 30, 2026 | San Fernando CD(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
Badajoz score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tamaraceite score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Badajoz | 2.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Tamaraceite | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Badajoz vs Tamaraceite?
- The Footlab model makes Badajoz the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Tamaraceite.
- Where and when is Badajoz vs Tamaraceite played?
- Badajoz vs Tamaraceite is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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