Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys: prediction and stats
Copa De La LigaQuarter-finalsKick-off on August 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeones del '36, Sullana
The Footlab model makes Sport Boys the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Atletico Grau. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Atletico Grau (1,609) and Sport Boys (1,600).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Grau have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Sport Boys have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Cajamarca(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sport Boys(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sport Huancayo(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cienciano(home) | 5-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UCV Moquegua(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alianza Lima(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atletico Grau(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ADT(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Atletico Grau win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Sport Boys win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atletico Grau 0-1 Sport Boys | Primera División |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Sport Boys 1-0 Atletico Grau | Primera División |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Sport Boys 1-1 Atletico Grau | Primera División |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Atletico Grau 3-3 Sport Boys | Primera División |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Sport Boys 0-0 Atletico Grau | Primera División |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Atletico Grau 0-0 Sport Boys | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Grau score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sport Boys score 1.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Grau | 1.2 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Sport Boys | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys?
- The Footlab model makes Sport Boys the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Atletico Grau.
- Where and when is Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys played?
- Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys is played on August 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Campeones del '36, in the Copa De La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.