ADT vs UCV Moquegua: prediction and stats
Copa De La LigaQuarter-finalsKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes ADT the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for UCV Moquegua. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ADT vs UCV Moquegua?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate ADT (1,588) and UCV Moquegua (1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ADT have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; UCV Moquegua have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College(away) | 1-5 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Garcilaso(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sport Boys(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sport Huancayo(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sport Boys(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Garcilaso(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FBC Melgar(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 ADT win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 UCV Moquegua win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | UCV Moquegua 2-2 ADT | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
ADT score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; UCV Moquegua score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADT | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| UCV Moquegua | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ADT vs UCV Moquegua?
- The Footlab model makes ADT the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for UCV Moquegua.
- Where and when is ADT vs UCV Moquegua played?
- ADT vs UCV Moquegua is played on August 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Copa De La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.