Match

UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua

UCV MoqueguaAtletico Grau

The Footlab AI model makes UCV Moquegua the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Atletico Grau. The most likely score is 1-1. If UCV Moquegua wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,533 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate UCV Moquegua (1,519) and Atletico Grau (1,583).

38%27%35%
UCV Moquegua winDrawAtletico Grau win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

UCV Moquegua

4-2-3-1
  1. 11B. Angulo
  1. 8C. Mejía
  2. 7E. Lastre
  3. 25R. Chipao
  4. 17Y. Zapata
  5. 10N. Chávez
  1. 4A. Perleche
  2. 13J. Lojas
  3. 3C. Enciso
  4. 15N. Amasifuén
  1. 1C. Grados

Atletico Grau

5-3-2
  1. 99A. Fernández
  2. 77M. da Luz
  1. 5R. Guarderas
  2. 10P. de la Cruz
  3. 21E. Correa
  1. 3I. Tapia
  2. 27R. Tapia
  3. 25G. Alfaro
  4. 4D. Rodríguez
  5. 2L. Acevedo
  1. 1P. Álvarez

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 02:56 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UCV Moquegua have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Atletico Grau have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

UCV Moquegua
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Club Deportivo Los Chankas(home)0-0Primera División
Oct 28, 2026ADT(away)0-2Primera División
Oct 25, 2026Alianza Lima(home)0-1Primera División
Oct 18, 2026FC Cajamarca(away)1-0Primera División
Oct 8, 2026Cienciano(home)0-2Primera División
Atletico Grau
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Universitario(home)1-3Primera División
Oct 29, 2026Cienciano(away)0-3Primera División
Oct 23, 2026ADT(home)1-1Primera División
Oct 18, 2026Alianza Lima(away)1-3Primera División
Oct 8, 2026Club Deportivo Los Chankas(home)0-0Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 UCV Moquegua wins, 0 draws, 1 Atletico Grau win.

DateScoreCompetition
May 29, 2026Atletico Grau 1-0 UCV MoqueguaPrimera División

Last archived meeting: Atletico Grau vs UCV Moquegua on May 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

UCV Moquegua score 0.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Grau score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
UCV Moquegua0.41.553/153/15
Atletico Grau1.11.648/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

UCV Moquegua sit 16th in Primera División (29 points from 32 matches) and Atletico Grau sit 14th (34 points from 32 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Atletico Grau329716294134
16UCV Moquegua327817254629

A question about UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?
The Footlab AI model makes UCV Moquegua the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Atletico Grau.
Where and when is UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau played?
UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau is played on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio 25 de Noviembre, in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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