Where and when is UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau played?

UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau is played on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio 25 de Noviembre, in the Primera División.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua

UCV Moquegua

Atletico Grau

The Footlab model makes UCV Moquegua the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Atletico Grau. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate UCV Moquegua (1,607) and Atletico Grau (1,621).

UCV Moquegua win50 %

Draw26 %

Atletico Grau win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UCV Moquegua have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Atletico Grau have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

UCV Moquegua
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Sport Huancayo(away)	2-0	Primera División
Aug 16, 2026	Sport Boys(home)	1-1	Primera División
Aug 9, 2026	Deportivo Garcilaso(away)	0-2	Primera División
Aug 2, 2026	FBC Melgar(home)	0-0	Primera División
Jul 26, 2026	UTC Cajamarca(away)	0-0	Primera División

Atletico Grau
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	FC Cajamarca(away)	3-1	Primera División
Aug 14, 2026	Comerciantes Unidos(home)	1-0	Primera División
Aug 8, 2026	Juan Pablo II College(away)	0-0	Primera División
Aug 1, 2026	Sport Boys(home)	0-1	Primera División
Jul 25, 2026	Sport Huancayo(away)	0-2	Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 UCV Moquegua win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Atletico Grau win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 29, 2026	Atletico Grau 1-0 UCV Moquegua	Primera División

Last archived meeting: Atletico Grau vs UCV Moquegua on May 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

UCV Moquegua score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Grau score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
UCV Moquegua	0.9	1.1	5	7/15	6/15
Atletico Grau	1.2	0.9	4	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

UCV Moquegua sit 14th in Primera División (18 points from 17 matches) and Atletico Grau sit 16th (16 points from 17 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Atletico Grau	6	3	1	2	7	5	10
12	Atletico Grau	23	7	5	11	19	23	26
12	UCV Moquegua	6	1	4	1	5	5	7
13	UCV Moquegua	23	6	7	10	22	29	25
14	Atletico Grau	4	1	1	2	3	4	4
14	UCV Moquegua	17	5	3	9	17	24	18
14	UCV Moquegua	17	5	3	9	17	24	18
15	UCV Moquegua	4	0	3	1	2	4	3
16	Atletico Grau	17	4	4	9	12	18	16
16	Atletico Grau	17	4	4	9	12	18	16

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?: The Footlab model makes UCV Moquegua the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Atletico Grau.
Where and when is UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau played?: UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau is played on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio 25 de Noviembre, in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.