Atletico Independiente vs Real Espana: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalApertura - 14Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 11:15 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Real Espana the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Atletico Independiente. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Espana wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Independiente vs Real Espana?
Real Espana starts as the favourite with a 232-point Elo edge (1,790 vs 1,558).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atletico Independiente vs Real Espana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atletico Independiente
Not enough data to predict the Atletico Independiente lineup.
Real Espana
4-3-3- 11E. Hernández
- 18D. Vuelto
- 54M. Arana
- 6D. García
- 10J. Benavidez
- 2J. Ramos
- 25M. Pereira
- 5F. Flores
- 28C. Mejía
- 39D. Cacho
- 23R. López
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 06:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Atletico Independiente have 2 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Real Espana have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | CD Marathon(home) | 2-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lobos Upnfm(home) | 0-4 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olancho(away) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CD Olimpia(away) | 0-4 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Juticalpa(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Juticalpa(home) | 3-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Platense FC(home) | 4-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 16, 2026 | CD Olimpia(away) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Estrella Roja(away) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CD Motagua(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Atletico Independiente wins, 1 draw, 0 Real Espana wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Real Espana 1-1 Atletico Independiente | Liga Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Real Espana vs Atletico Independiente on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Independiente score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 12; Real Espana score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Independiente | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 7/11 | 6/11 |
| Real Espana | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Independiente sit 10th in Liga Nacional (11 points from 12 matches) and Real Espana sit 2nd (27 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Real Espana | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 27 |
| 10 | Atletico Independiente | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 11 |
A question about Atletico Independiente vs Real Espana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Independiente vs Real Espana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Espana the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Atletico Independiente.
- Where and when is Atletico Independiente vs Real Espana played?
- Atletico Independiente vs Real Espana is played on November 8, 2026 at 11:15 PM (UTC), in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.