CD Olimpia vs Olancho: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalApertura - 14Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio José de la Paz Herrera Uclés, Tegucigalpa
The Footlab AI model makes CD Olimpia the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Olancho. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,453 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CD Olimpia vs Olancho?
CD Olimpia starts as the favourite with a 234-point Elo edge (1,909 vs 1,675).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CD Olimpia vs Olancho
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CD Olimpia
4-4-2- 19Y. Arboleda
- 21K. Peña
- 20A. Maldonado
- 25D. Paguada
- 8E. Rodríguez
- 23J. Álvarez
- 2E. Hernández
- 3Clinton Bennett
- 18R. García
- 12C. Canales
- 1E. Menjívar
Olancho
4-3-3- 27J. Bengtson
- 20Y. A. Cabrera
- 30M. Ramírez
- 2O. Almendárez
- 33N. Muñoz
- 8H. Gomez
- 7D. Rodríguez
- 22Robertino Canavesio
- 3J. Lasso
- 5D. Martinez
- 29G. Argueta
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 06:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CD Olimpia have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Olancho have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Choloma(away) | 3-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 29, 2026 | CS Cartagines(home) | 2-2 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lobos Upnfm(away) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 22, 2026 | CS Cartagines(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Real Espana(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Platense FC(home) | 4-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 15, 2026 | CD Marathon(away) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atletico Independiente(home) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Génesis(away) | 0-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Real Espana(home) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 CD Olimpia wins, 5 draws, 1 Olancho win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olancho 1-1 CD Olimpia | Liga Nacional |
| Mar 18, 2026 | CD Olimpia 0-0 Olancho | Liga Nacional |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Olancho 1-1 CD Olimpia | Liga Nacional |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Olancho 2-2 CD Olimpia | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 18, 2025 | CD Olimpia 2-2 Olancho | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 3, 2025 | Olancho 1-0 CD Olimpia | Liga Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Olancho vs CD Olimpia on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CD Olimpia score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Olancho score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Olimpia | 2.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Olancho | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CD Olimpia sit 1st in Liga Nacional (29 points from 12 matches) and Olancho sit 5th (16 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Olimpia | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 29 |
| 5 | Olancho | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 16 |
A question about CD Olimpia vs Olancho?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CD Olimpia vs Olancho?
- The Footlab AI model makes CD Olimpia the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Olancho.
- Where and when is CD Olimpia vs Olancho played?
- CD Olimpia vs Olancho is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio José de la Paz Herrera Uclés, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.