Atlético Madrid II vs Águilas: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 33Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, Majadahonda
The Footlab model makes Atlético Madrid II the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Águilas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Madrid II vs Águilas?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Atlético Madrid II (1,952) and Águilas (1,977).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Madrid II have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Águilas have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| May 30, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| May 23, 2026 | Algeciras(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | Poblense(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2026 | Utebo(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Utebo(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Madrid II score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Águilas score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid II | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Águilas | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atlético Madrid II | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 64 | 44 | 67 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Madrid II vs Águilas?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Madrid II the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Águilas.
- Where and when is Atlético Madrid II vs Águilas played?
- Atlético Madrid II vs Águilas is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.