Match

Zaragoza vs Real Jaén: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 33Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de la Romareda, Zaragoza

ZaragozaReal Jaén

The Footlab AI model makes Zaragoza the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Real Jaén. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,752 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zaragoza vs Real Jaén?

On Elo ratings, Zaragoza has 1,922 points and Real Jaén 1,996.

52%27%21%
Zaragoza winDrawReal Jaén win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Zaragoza vs Real Jaén

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Zaragoza

4-3-3
  1. 11Jaume Jardí
  2. 25Marco Sangalli
  3. 22Edu Espiau
  1. 16Lucas Terrer
  2. 6P. Ademo
  3. 19Jamelli
  1. 21Diego González
  2. 14Rubo Iranzo
  3. 3R. Pereira
  4. 18Sergio Escudero
  1. 1S. Westerveld

Real Jaén

4-3-3
  1. 11Mario Martos
  2. 9Marco Siverio
  3. 19M. Keita
  1. 8Antonio Caballero
  2. 6Jose Alvarez
  3. 10Paz Adri
  1. 21Mohamed Sanhaji
  2. 3D. Serrano
  3. 4J. Pol
  4. 24Alejandro Cea
  1. 1J. Morillas

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:23 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaragoza have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Real Jaén have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zaragoza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Real Murcia(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 11, 2026Atlético Madrid II(away)4-4Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 4, 2026Teruel(home)4-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 25, 2026Ibiza(away)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 20, 2026FC Cartagena(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Real Jaén
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 10, 2026Villarreal II(home)3-3Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 3, 2026Hércules(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 27, 2026Antequera(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 19, 2026Ibiza(home)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Zaragoza score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Real Jaén score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Zaragoza1.81.258/158/15
Real Jaén1.51.159/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zaragoza sit 2nd in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (17 points from 8 matches) and Real Jaén sit 5th (15 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Zaragoza8521161017
5Real Jaén843112815

A question about Zaragoza vs Real Jaén?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zaragoza vs Real Jaén?
The Footlab AI model makes Zaragoza the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Real Jaén.
Where and when is Zaragoza vs Real Jaén played?
Zaragoza vs Real Jaén is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de la Romareda, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Zaragoza and Real Jaén

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