FC Cartagena vs Alcorcon: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 33Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Cartagonova, Cartagena
The Footlab AI model makes FC Cartagena the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Alcorcon. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Cartagena vs Alcorcon?
On Elo ratings, FC Cartagena has 1,899 points and Alcorcon 1,927.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Cartagena vs Alcorcon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Cartagena
4-3-3- 17Raúl Dacosta
- 10I. Ribeiro
- 9Marcelo Ribeiro
- 6Clavería
- 8P. De Blasis
- 14Toni Villa
- 2Marc Jurado
- 24L. Lohr
- 19Adrián Corral
- 5Imanol Baz
- 13L. Garcia
Alcorcon
4-3-3- 9Davo
- 7E. Aparicio
- 11O. Ouhdadi
- 10L. Vacas
- 6Pablo Rivera
- 8T. Caravaca
- 17Miguel Cuesta
- 5Lancho
- 22X. Irurita
- 3Arnau Gaixas
- 13Miguel Bañuz
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Cartagena have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Alcorcon have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Águilas(home) | 4-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Zaragoza(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(home) | 5-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gimnastic(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Cartagena wins, 4 draws, 0 Alcorcon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | FC Cartagena 2-1 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Alcorcon 1-1 FC Cartagena | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 4, 2024 | FC Cartagena 1-0 Alcorcon | Segunda División |
| Dec 6, 2023 | Alcorcon 0-0 FC Cartagena | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 23, 2023 | Alcorcon 1-1 FC Cartagena | Segunda División |
| Dec 20, 2022 | Alcorcon 1-1 FC Cartagena | Copa del Rey |
Last archived meeting: FC Cartagena vs Alcorcon on May 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Cartagena score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Alcorcon score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cartagena | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Alcorcon | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Cartagena sit 6th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (12 points from 7 matches) and Alcorcon sit 5th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Alcorcon | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 12 |
| 6 | FC Cartagena | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
A question about FC Cartagena vs Alcorcon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Cartagena vs Alcorcon?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Cartagena the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Alcorcon.
- Where and when is FC Cartagena vs Alcorcon played?
- FC Cartagena vs Alcorcon is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Cartagonova, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.