Atlético Malveira vs Oliveira Hospital: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 13Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio das Seixas, Malveira, Mafra
The Footlab model makes Oliveira Hospital the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Atlético Malveira. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Malveira vs Oliveira Hospital?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Atlético Malveira (1,803) and Oliveira Hospital (1,885).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Malveira have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Oliveira Hospital have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Fátima(away) | 0-5 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Os Marialvas(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| May 31, 2026 | Oliveira Hospital(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| May 23, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(home) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| May 17, 2026 | Louletano(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Os Marialvas(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco(home) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| May 31, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| May 23, 2026 | Louletano(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| May 17, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Atlético Malveira win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Oliveira Hospital win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Oliveira Hospital 1-1 Atlético Malveira | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| May 10, 2026 | Atlético Malveira 0-2 Oliveira Hospital | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
Last archived meeting: Oliveira Hospital vs Atlético Malveira on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Malveira score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Oliveira Hospital score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Malveira | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Oliveira Hospital | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Malveira sit 14th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (0 points from 2 matches) and Oliveira Hospital sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Oliveira Hospital | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Atlético Malveira | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Malveira vs Oliveira Hospital?
- The Footlab model makes Oliveira Hospital the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Atlético Malveira.
- Where and when is Atlético Malveira vs Oliveira Hospital played?
- Atlético Malveira vs Oliveira Hospital is played on January 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio das Seixas, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.