Fazendense vs Naval 1893: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 13Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Naval 1893 the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Fazendense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Naval 1893 wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,576 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fazendense vs Naval 1893?
Naval 1893 starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,850 vs 1,749).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fazendense vs Naval 1893
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fazendense
Not enough data to predict the Fazendense lineup.
Naval 1893
Not enough data to predict the Naval 1893 lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 12:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Fazendense have 2 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Naval 1893 have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(away) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | FC Alverca II(away) | 0-5 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ginásio Figueirense(home) | 6-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | O Elvas(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mortágua(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | AD Nogueirense(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Alverca II(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Oliveira Hospital(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 30, 2026 | AD Nogueirense(away) | 3-1 | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Fazendense score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 11; Naval 1893 score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fazendense | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 6/11 | 8/11 |
| Naval 1893 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fazendense sit 13th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (1 point from 4 matches) and Naval 1893 sit 6th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Naval 1893 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 13 | Fazendense | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 1 |
A question about Fazendense vs Naval 1893?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fazendense vs Naval 1893?
- The Footlab AI model makes Naval 1893 the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Fazendense.
- Where and when is Fazendense vs Naval 1893 played?
- Fazendense vs Naval 1893 is played on January 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.