Os Marialvas vs O Elvas: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 13Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Cantanhede, Cantanhede
The Footlab AI model makes Os Marialvas the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for O Elvas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Os Marialvas wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Os Marialvas vs O Elvas?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Os Marialvas (1,889) and O Elvas (1,897).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Os Marialvas vs O Elvas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Os Marialvas
Not enough data to predict the Os Marialvas lineup.
O Elvas
Not enough data to predict the O Elvas lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Os Marialvas have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; O Elvas have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Chaves(away) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sertanense(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ovarense(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Nazarenos(away) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Fátima(home) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | UD da Serra(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sertanense(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fazendense(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | São Roque (Açores)(home) | 9-0 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Os Marialvas wins, 0 draws, 2 O Elvas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | Os Marialvas 2-3 O Elvas | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 25, 2024 | O Elvas 2-0 Os Marialvas | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
Last archived meeting: Os Marialvas vs O Elvas on Jan 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Os Marialvas score 1.3 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; O Elvas score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Os Marialvas | 1.3 | 0.4 | 11 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| O Elvas | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Os Marialvas sit 4th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (9 points from 4 matches) and O Elvas sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | O Elvas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Os Marialvas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
A question about Os Marialvas vs O Elvas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Os Marialvas vs O Elvas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Os Marialvas the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for O Elvas.
- Where and when is Os Marialvas vs O Elvas played?
- Os Marialvas vs O Elvas is played on January 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Cantanhede, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.