Match

Atlético Mansillés vs Salamanca II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, Mansilla de las Mulas

Atlético MansillésSalamanca II

The Footlab model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Salamanca II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Mansillés vs Salamanca II?

A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Atlético Mansillés (1,782) and Salamanca II (1,771).

Atlético Mansillés win46 %
Draw29 %
Salamanca II win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Mansillés have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Salamanca II have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Mansillés
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Cultural Leonesa II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Mojados(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026Almazán(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 23, 2026Almazán(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026Palencia CF(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Salamanca II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 22, 2023Real Ávila(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 16, 2023Unami(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 8, 2023Ponferradina II(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 2, 2023Arandina(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 25, 2023Atlético Astorga(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Mansillés score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Salamanca II score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atlético Mansillés0.90.975/153/15
Salamanca II1.30.775/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Atlético Mansillés3415127312757

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Mansillés vs Salamanca II?
The Footlab model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Salamanca II.
Where and when is Atlético Mansillés vs Salamanca II played?
Atlético Mansillés vs Salamanca II is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Atlético Mansillés and Salamanca II

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