Match

Cristo Atlético vs Turégano: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Nueva Balastera, Palencia

Cristo AtléticoTurégano

The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Turégano. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cristo Atlético vs Turégano?

Cristo Atlético starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,864 vs 1,736).

Cristo Atlético win48 %
Draw28 %
Turégano win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cristo Atlético have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Turégano have 1, 0 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cristo Atlético
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Laredo(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Palencia CF(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 17, 2026Palencia CF(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 10, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Turégano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2023Celta Vigo(home)0-4Copa del Rey
Oct 12, 2023Santurtzi(home)3-1Copa del Rey
Oct 19, 2022Velarde(away)0-1Copa del Rey

How many goals should we expect?

Cristo Atlético score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Turégano score 1.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cristo Atlético1.50.858/155/15
Turégano1.02.001/32/3

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Cristo Atlético342158482468

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cristo Atlético vs Turégano?
The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Turégano.
Where and when is Cristo Atlético vs Turégano played?
Cristo Atlético vs Turégano is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cristo Atlético and Turégano

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